Conservatives now trail both front-running NDP and Liberals in Labour Day weekend
• If an election were held over the holiday weekend, it would be a two horse race between the NDP (33%) and the Liberals (31%). Conservative support stands at 26% followed by the Green Party at six percent and the BQ (4% nationally, 16% in Quebec).
• Regional Ballot – The NDP lead in Quebec and BC, while the Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada and Ontario. The Conservatives lead in the Prairies.
• Accessible Vote – Measured through a series of independent questions for each political party, the proportion of Canadians that would consider voting for the NDP has increased, as has it for the Liberals. The proportion of Canadians that would consider voting Conservative has declined.
A national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three day period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2014 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of which Nanos is a member.