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Harper has marginal advantage as preferred PM: POLL 

Nanos National Nightly Tracking, Three day rolling average of 1,200 voters (September 26th, 27th, and 28th, 2015) released September 29th, 2015 (2 pm Eastern)

At a glance

  • Preferred Prime Minister – The latest tracking on the preferred PM front suggests Harper has a marginal advantage. Asked who they would prefer as PM, 31.4% said Harper followed by Trudeau at 27.4%, Mulcair at 24.8%, May at 4.0%, Duceppe at 2.0% and 10.4% were unsure.
  • Nanos Party Power Index – The Index which is a composite score out of 100 on a series of questions on ballot preferences and impressions of the leaders has all three major federal parties with comparable scores. The Liberals scored 53.5 out of a possible 100 points while the NDP scored 53.0 points, the Conservatives 51.1 points, the Greens at 30.1 points and the BQ at 30.8 points (QC only).

 

Survey Methodology

A national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three day period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20.

The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2011 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of which Nanos is a member.

 

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