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Liberals and the Conservatives gripped in a close race: POLL 

Harper, Trudeau, Mulcair

Nanos National Nightly Tracking, Three day rolling average of 1,200 voters (October 5th, 6th, and 7th, 2015) released October 8th, 2015 (6 am Eastern)

At a glance

  • National Ballot – Support for the federal parties stands at 33.5% for the Liberals, 31.6% for the Conservatives, 24.2% for the NDP, and 4.6% for the Greens nationally.
  • Accessible Voters – Asked a series of independent questions for each federal party as to whether they would consider or not consider voting for that party, 49.3% of Canadians would consider voting for the Liberals, 41.4% would consider voting NDP, 40.9% would consider voting for the Conservatives, 24.3% would consider the Greens, and 30.2% of Quebecers would consider the BQ.


Survey Methodology

A national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three day period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20.

The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2011 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of which Nanos is a member.


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