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NANOS SURVEY Three way national race within margin of error – POLL 

Harper, Mulcair, Tru
Nanos National Nightly Tracking, Three day rolling average of 1,200 voters (September 15th, 16th, and 17th, 2015) released September 18th, 2015 (6am Eastern)

NANOS SURVEY
National Ballot – For the eighth day in succession the race between the three main federal parties remains very close. The latest nightly tracking has the NDP at 31.3%, the Liberals at 31.0%, the Conservatives at 29.1% and the Greens at 5.8% nationally.
Regional Races – The New Democrats enjoy a comfortable lead in Quebec, while the Liberals are ahead in Atlantic Canada and have the advantage in Ontario. The Conservatives remain quite strong in the Prairies and in British Columbia it is a three way race between the NDP, the Conservatives and the Liberals.


Survey Methodology
A national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a threeday period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20.The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2011 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding.The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and IntelligenceAssociation of which Nanos is a member.

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