No major mistakes or triumphs leaves race in three – way tie: POLL
Nanos National Nightly Tracking, Three day rolling average of 1,200 voters (September 19th, 20th,and 21st, 2015) released September 22nd, 2015 (6am Eastern)
National Ballot – Two percentage points separate the three main parties in a veryclose election race. The latest nightly tracking has the Conservatives at 31.3% nationally
followed by the Liberals at 30.3%, the NDP at 29.4%, and the Green Party at 4.6%. BQ support in Quebec was at 13.9% – which translates into 3.4% nationally.
• Accessible Vote – Compared to the other federal parties, the Liberals have the highest proportion of accessible voters – that is – the proportion of Canadians who would consider voting for them. Asked a series of independent questions for each party, one half of Canadians (50.0%) would consider voting Liberal, 45.1% would consider voting for the NDP, 40.2% would consider voting for the Conservatives, 24.7% would consider voting for Greens and 24.5% of Quebecers would consider voting BQ.
Survey MethodologyA national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three day period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three – day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ± 2.8%, 19 times out of 20. The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2011 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of which Nanos is a member.