PCs Maintain Lead As Ontarians Are Unsure About Key Ford Measures – Mainstreet Research
(Ottawa, ON) – The Progressive Conservative government led by Doug Ford currently have nearly a sixteen point lead over the opposition NDP.
Those are the findings from Mainstreet Research’s latest UltraPoll, a conglomeration of ten provincial polls. The poll surveyed 1229 Ontarians between November 6th and 7th. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.79 % and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
“The gap between the PCs and the NDP has been stable and virtually the same since the election”, said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research.
Among decided and leaning voters, the PCs enjoy 42.2% of public support (+0.5% since July), while the NDP led by Andrea Horwath are at 27.8% (-1.3%). The Liberals with interim leader John Fraser come in with 21.3% support (no change), while the Green Party led by Mike Schreiner have 6.7% (+0.3%).
“While the PCs lead among both genders and all age groups, we do find significant differences among these groups,” continued Maggi. “The PCs lead by 28% among men but only lead by 4% among women, with the Liberals splitting the vote away from the NDP. We also find a significant drop in PC support among voters aged 18 to 34.”
When asked about the Ford government’s decision to cut funding for the post-secondary campus extensions in the GTA, 38.7% said they at least somewhat agreed with the decision while 39.3% said they disagreed, with 22% saying that they were not sure.
In terms of scaling back the minimum wage to $14 an hour, 48.9% said they agreed with the move while 45.3% disagreed. Only 5.4% said that they were not sure.
“Ontarians are very divided over how they feel about these decisions made by the government,” added Maggi. “While the Ford government can take solace in the fact that they have significant support for these moves, they have to take notice that there is a good chunk of opposition to these measures as well.”
“Not surprisingly, more respondents in the Greater Toronto Area do not agree with the decision to cancel the campus extensions,” concluded Maggi. “On the other hand, voters in Toronto are opposed to both the minimum wage cut and the cancellation of the construction of the postsecondary campuses, whereas the rest of the province are supportive of both decisions.”