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POLL: Liberals have seven point lead in closing week of campaign 

Nanos National Nightly Tracking, Three day rolling average of 1,200 voters (October 10th, 11th, and 13th, 2015) released October 14th, 2015 (6 am Eastern)

National Ballot – The latest Nanos tracking has the Liberals at 36.1% support followed by the Conservatives at 29.2%, the NDP at 24.5%, and the Greens at 4.3% nationally.

Regional Races – The Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada and Ontario while the Conservatives lead in the Prairie provinces. Quebec is a tight race between the NDP and Liberals while the Conservatives and the Liberals are tied for first in British Columbia.

Survey Methodology

A national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three day period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20.

The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2011 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of which Nanos is a member.

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