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Three federal parties within three points in election race : POLL 

Nanos National Nightly Tracking, Three day rolling average of 1,200 voters (September 22nd, 23rd, and 24th, 2015) released September 25th, 2015 (6am Eastern)

At a glance

  • National Ballot – The latest Nanos nightly tracking has only three percentage points separating the three main federal parties. Support for the Liberals stands at 32.3%, while the NDP had 31.1% support, the Conservatives 28.9% support and the Greens 4.2% support nationally.
  • Accessible Voters – Asked a series of independent questions for the parties, the Liberals have the highest level of accessible voters with 50.9% of Canadians who say they would consider voting Liberal while 49.5% of Canadians said they would consider voting NDP, 38.6% would consider voting Conservative, 24.7% would consider voting Green (24.6% of Quebecers would consider voting BQ).


Survey Methodology

  • A national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three day period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20.
  • The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2011 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of which Nanos is a member.



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