Three way tie continues for fourth night of tracking
Nanos National Nightly Tracking, Three day rolling average of 1,200 voters (September 11th, 12th, and 13th, 2015) released September 14th, 2015 (6am Eastern)
- National Ballot
The three major parties remain in a very tight race for the fourth day in succession. The support for each party is within the margin of error for the research. The three day tracking completed Sunday evening had the NDP at 31%, the Liberals at 30%, the Conservatives at 30%, and the Greens at four percent nationally.
- Accessible Vote
The New Democrats and the Liberals continue to have the highest level of accessible voters. Asked a series of independent questions for each party, 51% of Canadians would consider voting for the NDP, 50% would consider voting for the Liberals, 39% would consider voting for the Conservatives, 24% would consider voting Greenand in Quebec 26% would consider voting for the BQ.
A national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200
Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three
day period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The
daily tracking figures are based on a three day rolling sample comprised of 1,200
interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the
oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ± 2.8%,
19 times out of 20. The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender.
The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2011 Canadian Census
administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to
rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence
Association of which Nanos is a member.