Two way race between Liberals and Conservatives continues, NDP nine points back of front runners
Nanos National Nightly Tracking, Three day rolling average of 1,200 voters (October 4th, 5th, and 6th, 2015) released October 7th, 2015 (6 am Eastern)
At A Glance
• National Ballot – The two way race between the Liberals and the Conservatives continues with the Liberals at 34.3%, the Conservatives at 32.1%, the NDP at 23.0% and the Greens at 4.6% nationally.
• Accessible Vote – Asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would consider or not consider voting for each of the federal parties, 49.7% of Canadians would consider voting Liberal, 41.6% would consider voting Conservative, 40.3% would consider voting NDP, 23.5% would consider voting Green and 27.1% would consider voting BQ (Quebec only).
A national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three day period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews.
To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20. The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2011 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of which Nanos is a member.