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Who will win – BJP,AAP , Congress or PDP? 

Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir, Jharkhand Elections

The ABP News-Nielsen Opinion pre-poll survey predicts that AAP will win only 18 seats as opposed to 28 it had won in the 2013 Delhi Assembly Election.

Also, the survey brings in good news for the BJP. It predicts that the party would continue its stellar performance in Delhi, as it did in Maharashtra and Haryana, by winning 46 out of 70 seats. That would give BJP a clear majority.

The Congress, the survey predicts, would perform even worse than what it did in 2013 and is expected to win only five seats. During the last elections it had won eight seats, wiping out Sheila Dikshit’s 15-year-old regime.

The BJP and the Congress have traditionally held sway in Delhi. This changed last year when the AAP, contesting from all the assembly constituencies, pulled off a stunning performance with a tally of 28 seats. In comparison, the BJP won 31 seats, while the Congress got just eight.The AAP went on to form the government with the backing of the Congress, only to quit the government after 49 days over its failure to introduce an anti-corruption bill.

While the BJP has not announced any chief ministerial candidate for the upcoming Delhi polls, Kejriwal had indicated that this time too he would be the face of his party. Kejriwal, who had led AAP to a stunning debut in the assembly polls in December last year, had said there was no reason why there should be a change in chief ministerial nominee though a final decision on it would be taken by the party.

Kejriwal as the face of the AAP could actually benefit the party during the assembly polls. When asked about who would be fit for the chief minister’s post in the national capital, it was Kejriwal who got the highest votes with 39 percent respondents choosing him, followed closely by Harsh Vardhan with 38 percent votes.

ABP News reported that “About two-third respondents said that they were satisfied with the work done by Arvind Kejriwal in his 49 days tenure – this may be the reason why even now he is still considered amongst favourables for the position of CM by respondents of Delhi.”

Though some Delhiites think that Kejriwal’s stint as the chief minister was good, others felt betrayed that he quit only after 49 days. It was seen by many as a rookie act. But Kejriwal also needs to fight what had been called the ‘Modi wave’ that swept the country during the Lok Sabha polls and evidently still continues to maintain momentum — take for example BJP’s win in Maharashtra and Haryana.

The pre-poll survey reveals that Modi is Delhi’s favourite leader with “63% respondents voting for him. Kejriwal is behind with 25 percent. Third comes Rahul Gandhi with 12 percent.” More than half (56%) of the respondents feel that with Narendra Modi being the Prime Minister of the nation, “ache din” are here.


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