The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 6.8% year over year in November, following a 6.9% increase in October.
Excluding food and energy, prices rose 5.4% on a yearly basis in November, following a gain of 5.3% in October.
Slower price growth for gasoline and furniture was partially offset by faster growth in mortgage interest cost and rent.
On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.1% in November following a 0.7% gain in October. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, the CPI was up 0.4%.
12-month change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and CPI excluding food and energy
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Prices rise at a faster pace in November in five major components
Gasoline prices fall month over month
On a monthly basis, gasoline prices fell 3.6% in November following a 9.2% increase in October, largely driven by price declines in Western Canada. The reopening of refineries in the western United States contributed to lower prices in British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba.
Year over year, gasoline prices rose 13.7% in November after rising 17.8% in October.
Drop in month-over-month gasoline prices in Western Canada drives the national decline
Grocery prices increase at a slightly faster pace
Prices for food purchased from stores rose 11.4% year over year in November, following an 11.0% gain in October. Food inflation remained broad-based, with prices for groceries rising at a faster rate than the all-items CPI every month since December 2021.
Canadians saw prices increase at a faster pace in November 2022 for non-alcoholic beverages (+19.4%), fresh fruit (+11.0%) and meat (+6.2%). Chicken prices rose 9.3% on a year-over-year basis, due partly to reduced global supply, as farmers have culled and quarantined birds infected with avian influenza.
Some notable year-over-year price increases were seen for products such as edible fats and oils (+26.0%), coffee and tea (+16.8%), eggs (+16.7%), cereal products (+15.7%) and bakery products (+15.5%). To explore some of the factors behind rising food prices, consult the article “Behind the Numbers: What’s Causing Growth in Food Prices.”
Continued broad-based year-over-year increases across the food component
Shelter prices rise at a faster rate mainly due to mortgage interest cost and rent
Prices for shelter (+7.2%) rose at a faster pace year over year in November, mainly due to upward pressure from the mortgage interest cost and rent indexes.
Mortgage interest cost continued to rise at a faster rate year over year, up 14.5% in November compared with 11.4% in October, amid the higher interest rate environment. The increase in November was the largest since February 1983.
The rent index rose 5.9% in November on a year-over-year basis following a 4.7% increase in October. Among other factors, a higher interest rate environment, which may create barriers to homeownership, put upward pressure on the index. Rent prices accelerated the most in Prince Edward Island (+12.6%), British Columbia (+7.2%), Quebec (+5.3%) and Ontario (+7.1%).
Moderating the year-over-year price increase in the shelter component was a slowdown in the growth of the homeowners’ replacement cost index (+5.8%) and other owned accommodation expenses (+3.7%), which includes realtor commission fees. These two indexes reflect a general cooling of the housing market, as growth in both indexes has slowed every month since May 2022.
Mortgage interest cost and rent continue to increase at a faster pace, as homeowners’ replacement cost and other owned accommodation expenses increase at a slower rate
Slower year-over-year growth in furniture prices
Furniture prices rose 8.1% year over year in November after eight consecutive months of increases above 12%. This was largely the result of a base-year effect resulting from a notable monthly price increase in November 2021 amid higher shipping costs. Supply chain constraints have eased throughout the second half of 2022, which may also have contributed to the deceleration of furniture prices in November.
Prices for cellular services rise
In November, prices for cellular services rose on a year-over-year basis for the first time in three years. Consumers paid 2.0% more compared with November 2021, when prices fell amid a series of industry-wide price promotions offering reduced prices for phone plans and bonus data. Comparatively, there were fewer promotions offered in November 2022.
Prices for cellular services increase for the first time since 2019
Year over year, prices rose at a faster pace in November compared with October in six provinces. Faster price growth was most visible in Prince Edward Island (+9.7%), Nova Scotia (+8.6%) and New Brunswick (+7.8%), where consumers paid more for fuel oil and other fuels. Fuel oil is more commonly used in these provinces to heat homes.
The Consumer Price Index rises at a faster pace in six provinces
Traveller accommodation in British Columbia
Year over year, consumers in British Columbia paid 9.5% more for traveller accommodation in November following a 32.7% increase in October. The slowdown, resulting from a 20.6% month-over-month decline, was driven by lower accommodation prices in Vancouver.
Electricity prices decelerate in Ontario
Electricity prices in Ontario rose at a slower year-over-year pace in November (+0.6%) compared with October (+3.7%), following a decrease in time-of-use rates, which was partially offset by a reduction in the Ontario electricity rebate.