Doug Ford has been re-elected as Ontario’s premier, positioning himself to become one of the province’s longest-serving leaders in recent history.
By securing a third consecutive majority government, Ford follows in the footsteps of Dalton McGuinty, marking a significant political achievement. If he serves the full four-year term, he will become Ontario’s fourth longest-serving premier.
Stability and Future Policies
Despite various campaign promises, Ford’s leadership style is expected to remain consistent. Political analyst Scott Reid describes his governance approach as “more of the same,” indicating a continued focus on large-scale infrastructure projects, tax reductions, and economic investments.
One of the major commitments includes a $15 billion investment in priority transportation projects, such as a proposed tunnel under Highway 401—an initiative that has drawn criticism from experts. The government is also expected to maintain broad-based tax cuts, such as making the temporary 5.7 cents per litre reduction in the provincial gas tax permanent.
While Ford has largely prioritized infrastructure, there is increasing pressure to shift focus toward healthcare and education, given the challenges these sectors face. Analysts suggest that if any change occurs in his fiscal approach, it will likely be in the allocation of funds rather than overall spending levels.
Challenges and Potential Risks
Two significant challenges could threaten Ford’s leadership: political fatigue and ongoing investigations.
Over time, long-serving governments often experience declining public support as voters seek change. Additionally, the RCMP’s ongoing investigation into the Greenbelt land swap remains a potential risk. If further developments arise, it could provide opposition parties with an opportunity to challenge Ford’s leadership.
Ontario and U.S. Trade Tensions
As the United States moves to impose tariffs in March, Ontario’s manufacturing sector could face economic disruptions. While Ford may advocate for protective measures, analysts highlight that trade policy is largely managed at the federal level. Any significant response would require coordination with Ottawa.
Ford’s Legacy and Political Strength
If Ford successfully completes his third term, he will surpass several notable Ontario leaders, moving just behind Leslie Frost, who served for 12 years.
A key aspect of Ford’s legacy is his ability to maintain and even expand his political influence over time. Entering the 2025 election with 79 seats, his party appeared on track to increase its hold to 81 seats, showcasing the strength of his political strategy.
According to analysts, Ford will be remembered as a leader who built a resilient political machine, defying the usual trend of governments losing support over time. His ability to secure consecutive victories highlights the effectiveness of his electoral approach and his impact on Ontario’s political landscape.
